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David R. Smith, Conor P. McGowan, Jonathan P. Daily, James D. Nichols, John A. Sweka and James E. Lyons Evaluating a multispecies adaptive management framework: must uncertainty impede effective decision-making? Journal of Applied Ecology 50

Version of Record online: 27 AUG 2013 | DOI: 10.1111/1365-2664.12145

The combination of management strategy evaluation with state-dependent strategies from stochastic dynamic programming was an informative approach to evaluate adaptive management performance and value of learning. Although natural resource decisions are characterized by uncertainty, not all uncertainty will cause decisions to be altered substantially, as we found in this case. It is important to incorporate uncertainty into the decision framing and evaluate the effect of reducing that uncertainty on achieving the desired outcomes.

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