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Cédric Frenette-Dussault, Bill Shipley, Driss Meziane and Yves Hingrat Trait-based climate change predictions of plant community structure in arid steppes Journal of Ecology 101

Article first published online: 14 DEC 2012 | DOI: 10.1111/1365-2745.12040

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We used a novel statistical method based on plant functional traits and the principle of maximum entropy to predict actual and future plant community structure under various climate change scenarios in the arid steppes of eastern Morocco. Our results show that even the least severe scenario, in terms of aridity, will lead to woody encroachment, thus reducing ecosystem services.

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