Greg R. Guerin, Ed Biffin, Duncan I. Jardine, Hugh B. Cross and Andrew J. Lowe A spatially predictive baseline for monitoring multivariate species occurrences and phylogenetic shifts in mediterranean southern Australia Journal of Vegetation Science
Linking changes in vegetation to climate change is challenging because there are no static-climate controls for comparison. Guerin et al. use a monitoring transect in southern Australia to isolate the influence of climate on vegetation composition, considering landscape factors. They select spatial climate change analogues and establish a baseline for monitoring at multiple scales that predicts climate influences.
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