Risk Analysis

© Society for Risk Analysis

Cover image for Vol. 33 Issue 6

Early View (Online Version of Record published before inclusion in an issue)

Edited By: L. Anthony Cox, Jr.

Impact Factor: 2.366

ISI Journal Citation Reports © Ranking: 2011: 4/45 (Social Sciences Mathematical Methods); 7/92 (Mathematics Interdisciplinary Applications)

Online ISSN: 1539-6924

  1. Original Research Articles

    1. Risk-Based Approach for Microbiological Food Safety Management in the Dairy Industry: The Case of Listeria monocytogenes in Soft Cheese Made from Pasteurized Milk

      Fanny Tenenhaus-Aziza, Jean-Jacques Daudin, Alexandre Maffre and Moez Sanaa

      Article first published online: 18 JUN 2013 | DOI: 10.1111/risa.12074

    2. Promoting Seismic Retrofit Implementation Through “Nudge”: Using Warranty as a Driver

      Toshio Fujimi and Hirokazu Tatano

      Article first published online: 13 JUN 2013 | DOI: 10.1111/risa.12086

    3. Quantifying the Hurricane Catastrophe Risk to Offshore Wind Power

      Stephen Rose, Paulina Jaramillo, Mitchell J. Small and Jay Apt

      Article first published online: 13 JUN 2013 | DOI: 10.1111/risa.12085

  2. Profile

    1. Sheila Jasanoff: Culture and Diversity in Risk Management

      Michael Greenberg and Karen Lowrie

      Article first published online: 13 JUN 2013 | DOI: 10.1111/risa.12083

  3. Original Research Articles

    1. Bioaccessibility and Risk of Exposure to Metals and SVOCs in Artificial Turf Field Fill Materials and Fibers

      Brian T. Pavilonis, Clifford P. Weisel, Brian Buckley and Paul J. Lioy

      Article first published online: 11 JUN 2013 | DOI: 10.1111/risa.12081

    2. Beyond Value-at-Risk: GlueVaR Distortion Risk Measures

      Jaume Belles-Sampera, Montserrat Guillén and Miguel Santolino

      Article first published online: 11 JUN 2013 | DOI: 10.1111/risa.12080

    3. Consumption of Bovine Spongiform Encephalopathy (BSE) Contaminated Beef and the Risk of Variant Creutzfeldt-Jakob Disease

      Chu-Chih Chen, Yin-Han Wang and Kuen-Yuh Wu

      Article first published online: 11 JUN 2013 | DOI: 10.1111/risa.12079

    4. Model Uncertainty and Bayesian Model Averaged Benchmark Dose Estimation for Continuous Data

      Kan Shao and Jeffrey S. Gift

      Article first published online: 11 JUN 2013 | DOI: 10.1111/risa.12078

    5. Passenger Rail Security, Planning, and Resilience: Application of Network, Plume, and Economic Simulation Models as Decision Support Tools

      Michael Greenberg, Paul Lioy, Birnur Ozbas, Nancy Mantell, Sastry Isukapalli, Michael Lahr, Tayfur Altiok, Joseph Bober, Clifton Lacy, Karen Lowrie, Henry Mayer and Jennifer Rovito

      Article first published online: 29 MAY 2013 | DOI: 10.1111/risa.12073

  4. Perspectives

    1. Improving Causal Inferences in Risk Analysis

      Louis Anthony (Tony) Cox Jr.

      Article first published online: 29 MAY 2013 | DOI: 10.1111/risa.12072

  5. Original Research Articles

    1. On the Treatment of Uncertainty and Variability in Making Decisions About Risk

      Vicki M. Bier and Shi-Woei Lin

      Article first published online: 29 MAY 2013 | DOI: 10.1111/risa.12071

    2. First Application of FISK, the Freshwater Fish Invasiveness Screening Kit, in Northern Europe: Example of southern Finland

      Riikka Puntila, Lorenzo Vilizzi, Maiju Lehtiniemi and Gordon H. Copp

      Article first published online: 24 MAY 2013 | DOI: 10.1111/risa.12069

    3. Benchmark Dose Analysis via Nonparametric Regression Modeling

      Walter W. Piegorsch, Hui Xiong, Rabi N. Bhattacharya and Lizhen Lin

      Article first published online: 17 MAY 2013 | DOI: 10.1111/risa.12066

    4. Transport Mode Selection for Toxic Gases: Rail or Road?

      Morteza Bagheri, Manish Verma and Vedat Verter

      Article first published online: 17 MAY 2013 | DOI: 10.1111/risa.12063

  6. Commentaries

    1. European Parliament Working Group on Risk: A Commentary

      Henry Rothstein

      Article first published online: 17 MAY 2013 | DOI: 10.1111/risa.12062

    2. The Hazard of a Scientific Approach to Risk: Commentary on Professor Löfstedt's Proposal for a European Parliamentary Working Group on Risk

      Sophie Nappert

      Article first published online: 17 MAY 2013 | DOI: 10.1111/risa.12061

    3. Commentary on Löfstedt Working Group Paper

      Julie Girling

      Article first published online: 17 MAY 2013 | DOI: 10.1111/risa.12060

  7. Original Research Articles

    1. The Potential Impact of an Anthrax Attack on Real Estate Prices and Foreclosures in Seattle

      Noah Dormady, Thomas Szelazek and Adam Rose

      Article first published online: 17 MAY 2013 | DOI: 10.1111/risa.12059

    2. Time-Series Models for Border Inspection Data

      Geoffrey Decrouez and Andrew Robinson

      Article first published online: 17 MAY 2013 | DOI: 10.1111/risa.12058

  8. Perspectives

    1. On How to Deal with Deep Uncertainties in a Risk Assessment and Management Context

      Terje Aven

      Article first published online: 8 MAY 2013 | DOI: 10.1111/risa.12067

    2. The Informal European Parliamentary Working Group on Risk—History, Remit, and Future Plans: A Personal View

      Ragnar E. Lofstedt

      Article first published online: 8 MAY 2013 | DOI: 10.1111/risa.12065

  9. Original Research Articles

    1. Global Maize Trade and Food Security: Implications from a Social Network Model

      Felicia Wu and Hasan Guclu

      Article first published online: 8 MAY 2013 | DOI: 10.1111/risa.12064

    2. Further Thoughts on the Utility of Risk Matrices

      David J. Ball and John Watt

      Article first published online: 8 MAY 2013 | DOI: 10.1111/risa.12057

  10. Perspectives

    1. Other Aspects of BSE Issues in East Asian Countries

      Jun Sekizawa

      Article first published online: 25 APR 2013 | DOI: 10.1111/risa.12051

    2. Risk Assessment Can Be a Game-Changing Information Technology—But Too Often It Isn't

      Robert Goble and Vicki M. Bier

      Article first published online: 24 APR 2013 | DOI: 10.1111/risa.12055

  11. Original Research Articles

    1. Optimal Food Safety Sampling Under a Budget Constraint

      Mark R. Powell

      Article first published online: 24 APR 2013 | DOI: 10.1111/risa.12054

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      Spatial Variation of Soil Lead in an Urban Community Garden: Implications for Risk-Based Sampling

      Lauren Bugdalski, Lawrence D. Lemke and Shawn P. McElmurry

      Article first published online: 24 APR 2013 | DOI: 10.1111/risa.12053

    3. Effectiveness of FISK, an Invasiveness Screening Tool for Non-Native Freshwater Fishes, to Perform Risk Identification Assessments in the Iberian Peninsula

      David Almeida, Filipe Ribeiro, Pedro M. Leunda, Lorenzo Vilizzi and Gordon H. Copp

      Article first published online: 24 APR 2013 | DOI: 10.1111/risa.12050

    4. An Expected Consequence Approach to Route Choice in the Maritime Transportation of Crude Oil

      Atiq Siddiqui and Manish Verma

      Article first published online: 24 APR 2013 | DOI: 10.1111/risa.12049

    5. Modeling Imbalanced Economic Recovery Following a Natural Disaster Using Input-Output Analysis

      Jun Li, Douglas Crawford-Brown, Mark Syddall and Dabo Guan

      Article first published online: 24 APR 2013 | DOI: 10.1111/risa.12040

    6. Communication in Nuclear Emergency Preparedness: A Closer Look at Information Reception

      Tanja Perko, Baldwin van Gorp, Catrinel Turcanu, Peter Thijssen and Benny Carle

      Article first published online: 11 APR 2013 | DOI: 10.1111/risa.12048

    7. Disease Spread Models to Estimate Highly Uncertain Emerging Diseases Losses for Animal Agriculture Insurance Policies: An Application to the U.S. Farm-Raised Catfish Industry

      Francisco J. Zagmutt, Stephen H. Sempier and Terril R. Hanson

      Article first published online: 5 APR 2013 | DOI: 10.1111/risa.12038

    8. Decision Making for Group Risk Reduction: Dealing with Epistemic Uncertainty

      Tim Bedford

      Article first published online: 4 APR 2013 | DOI: 10.1111/risa.12047

    9. The Immediate Impact of the Fukushima Daiichi Accident on Local Property Values

      Fumihiro Yamane, Hideaki Ohgaki and Kota Asano

      Article first published online: 4 APR 2013 | DOI: 10.1111/risa.12045

  12. Perspective

    1. Evaluating Methods for Estimating Existential Risks

      Bruce Tonn and Dorian Stiefel

      Article first published online: 28 MAR 2013 | DOI: 10.1111/risa.12039

  13. Original Research Articles

    1. Expecting the Unexpected: Predicting Physiological and Psychological Wildfire Preparedness from Perceived Risk, Responsibility, and Obstacles

      Ilona M. McNeill, Patrick D. Dunlop, Jonathan B. Heath, Timothy C. Skinner and David L. Morrison

      Article first published online: 28 MAR 2013 | DOI: 10.1111/risa.12037

    2. An Approach for Optimal Allocation of Safety Resources: Using the Knapsack Problem to Take Aggregated Cost-Efficient Preventive Measures

      Genserik L. L. Reniers and Kenneth Sörensen

      Article first published online: 28 MAR 2013 | DOI: 10.1111/risa.12036

    3. A Bayes Linear Bayes Method for Estimation of Correlated Event Rates

      John Quigley, Kevin J. Wilson, Lesley Walls and Tim Bedford

      Article first published online: 28 MAR 2013 | DOI: 10.1111/risa.12035

    4. When Precaution Creates Misunderstandings: The Unintended Effects of Precautionary Information on Perceived Risks, the EMF Case

      Peter M. Wiedemann, Holger Schuetz, Franziska Boerner, Martin Clauberg, Rodney Croft, Rajesh Shukla, Toshiko Kikkawa, Ray Kemp, Jan M. Gutteling, Barney de Villiers, Flavia N. da Silva Medeiros and Julie Barnett

      Article first published online: 28 MAR 2013 | DOI: 10.1111/risa.12034

    5. Psychometric and Demographic Predictors of the Perceived Risk of Terrorist Threats and the Willingness to Pay for Terrorism Risk Management Programs

      Jeryl L. Mumpower, Liu Shi, James W. Stoutenborough and Arnold Vedlitz

      Article first published online: 28 MAR 2013 | DOI: 10.1111/risa.12033

    6. When Opportunity Matters: Comparing the Risk-Taking Attitudes of Prisoners and Recently Released Ex-Prisoners

      Jonathan J. Rolison, Yaniv Hanoch and Michaela Gummerum

      Article first published online: 28 MAR 2013 | DOI: 10.1111/risa.12042

    7. Risks Perception of Electromagnetic Fields in Taiwan: The Influence of Psychopathology and the Degree of Sensitivity to Electromagnetic Fields

      Mei-Chih Meg Tseng, Yi-Ping Lin, Fu-Chang Hu and Tsun-Jen Cheng

      Article first published online: 28 MAR 2013 | DOI: 10.1111/risa.12041

    8. Health Risk Characterization of Chlorpyrifos Using Epidemiological Dose-Response Data and Probabilistic Techniques: A Case Study with Rice Farmers in Vietnam

      Dung Tri Phung, Des Connell, Qiming Yu and Cordia Chu

      Article first published online: 7 MAR 2013 | DOI: 10.1111/risa.12023

    9. Different Roles and Viewpoints of Scientific Experts in Advising on Environmental Health Risks

      Pita Spruijt, Anne B. Knol, René Torenvlied and Erik Lebret

      Article first published online: 6 MAR 2013 | DOI: 10.1111/risa.12020

    10. The Measurement of Subjective Probability: Evaluating the Sensitivity and Accuracy of Various Scales

      Niels Haase, Frank Renkewitz and Cornelia Betsch

      Article first published online: 6 MAR 2013 | DOI: 10.1111/risa.12025

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      Decision Strategies to Reduce Teenage and Young Adult Deaths in the United States

      Ralph L. Keeney and Asa B. Palley

      Article first published online: 11 FEB 2013 | DOI: 10.1111/risa.12016

    12. An Empirical Approach to Sufficient Similarity: Combining Exposure Data and Mixtures Toxicology Data

      Scott Marshall, Chris Gennings, Linda K. Teuschler, LeAnna G. Stork, Rogelio Tornero-Velez, Kevin M. Crofton and Glenn E. Rice

      Article first published online: 11 FEB 2013 | DOI: 10.1111/risa.12015

    13. Salient Beliefs About Earthquake Hazards and Household Preparedness

      Julia S. Becker, Douglas Paton, David M. Johnston and Kevin R. Ronan

      Article first published online: 22 JAN 2013 | DOI: 10.1111/risa.12014

    14. A New Multicriteria Risk Mapping Approach Based on a Multiattribute Frontier Concept

      Denys Yemshanov, Frank H. Koch, Yakov Ben-Haim, Marla Downing, Frank Sapio and Marty Siltanen

      Article first published online: 22 JAN 2013 | DOI: 10.1111/risa.12013

    15. Investigating Heterogeneity in the Characterization of Risks Using Best Worst Scaling

      Seda Erdem and Dan Rigby

      Article first published online: 22 JAN 2013 | DOI: 10.1111/risa.12012

    16. Nonparametric Bayesian Methods for Benchmark Dose Estimation

      Nilabja Guha, Anindya Roy, Leonid Kopylev, John Fox, Maria Spassova and Paul White

      Article first published online: 22 JAN 2013 | DOI: 10.1111/risa.12004

    17. Bayesian Development of a Dose-Response Model for Aspergillus fumigatus and Invasive Aspergillosis

      Christopher Leleu, Jean Menotti, Pascale Meneceur, Firas Choukri, Annie Sulahian, Yves Jean-François Garin, Jean-Baptiste Denis and Francis Derouin

      Article first published online: 11 JAN 2013 | DOI: 10.1111/risa.12007

    18. Harnessing the Theoretical Foundations of the Exponential and Beta-Poisson Dose-Response Models to Quantify Parameter Uncertainty Using Markov Chain Monte Carlo

      Philip J. Schmidt, Katarina D. M. Pintar, Aamir M. Fazil and Edward Topp

      Article first published online: 11 JAN 2013 | DOI: 10.1111/risa.12006

  14. Perspectives

    1. New Data, Strategies, and Insights for Listeria monocytogenes Dose-Response Models: Summary of an Interagency Workshop, 2011

      K. Hoelzer, Y. Chen, S. Dennis, P. Evans, R. Pouillot, B. J. Silk and I. Walls

      Article first published online: 11 JAN 2013 | DOI: 10.1111/risa.12005

  15. Original Research Articles

    1. A Calibrated Human PBPK Model for Benzene Inhalation with Urinary Bladder and Bone Marrow Compartments

      Jeffrey S. Knutsen, Brent D. Kerger, Brent Finley and Dennis J. Paustenbach

      Article first published online: 24 DEC 2012 | DOI: 10.1111/j.1539-6924.2012.01927.x

    2. Description and Propagation of Uncertainty in Input Parameters in Environmental Fate Models

      Muhammad Sarfraz Iqbal and Tomas Öberg

      Article first published online: 24 DEC 2012 | DOI: 10.1111/j.1539-6924.2012.01926.x

    3. A Quantitative Assessment of the Amount of Prion Diverted to Category 1 Materials and Wastewater During Processing

      Amie Adkin, Neil Donaldson and Louise Kelly

      Article first published online: 24 DEC 2012 | DOI: 10.1111/j.1539-6924.2012.01922.x

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      Risk-Based Input-Output Analysis of Influenza Epidemic Consequences on Interdependent Workforce Sectors

      Joost R. Santos, Larissa May and Amine El Haimar

      Article first published online: 24 DEC 2012 | DOI: 10.1111/risa.12002

    5. The Quantitative Estimation of IT-Related Risk Probabilities

      Andrea Herrmann

      Article first published online: 24 DEC 2012 | DOI: 10.1111/risa.12001

  16. Original Research Article

    1. On Determining the BMD from Multiple Outcomes in Developmental Toxicity Studies when One Outcome is Intentionally Missing

      Julie S. Najita and Paul J. Catalano

      Article first published online: 12 DEC 2012 | DOI: 10.1111/j.1539-6924.2012.01939.x

    2. Dynamic Simulation as an Approach to Understanding Hurricane Risk Response: Insights from the Stormview Lab

      Robert Meyer, Kenneth Broad, Ben Orlove and Nada Petrovic

      Article first published online: 12 DEC 2012 | DOI: 10.1111/j.1539-6924.2012.01935.x

    3. Decision Making in Child Protective Services: A Risky Business?

      Michael J. Camasso and Radha Jagannathan

      Article first published online: 12 DEC 2012 | DOI: 10.1111/j.1539-6924.2012.01931.x

    4. Using Probability Boxes to Model Elicited Information: A Case Study

      V. J. Roelofs and W. Roelofs

      Article first published online: 12 DEC 2012 | DOI: 10.1111/j.1539-6924.2012.01943.x

    5. A Systems Approach to the Policy-Level Risk Assessment of Exotic Animal Diseases: Network Model and Application to Classical Swine Fever

      João Delgado, Simon Pollard, Emma Snary, Edgar Black, George Prpich and Phil Longhurst

      Article first published online: 12 DEC 2012 | DOI: 10.1111/j.1539-6924.2012.01934.x

    6. Selecting Nonpharmaceutical Interventions for Influenza

      Rachael M. Jones and Elodie Adida

      Article first published online: 12 DEC 2012 | DOI: 10.1111/j.1539-6924.2012.01938.x

    7. Social Contagion of Risk Perceptions in Environmental Management Networks

      Bret A. Muter, Meredith L. Gore and Shawn J. Riley

      Article first published online: 12 DEC 2012 | DOI: 10.1111/j.1539-6924.2012.01936.x

    8. EvacuAid: A Probabilistic Model to Determine the Expected Loss of Life for Different Mass Evacuation Strategies During Flood Threats

      Bas Kolen, Matthijs Kok, Ira Helsloot and Bob Maaskant

      Article first published online: 12 DEC 2012 | DOI: 10.1111/j.1539-6924.2012.01932.x

    9. Risk of Large-Scale Evacuation Based on the Effectiveness of Rescue Strategies Under Different Crowd Densities

      Jinghong Wang, Siuming Lo, Qingsong Wang, Jinhua Sun and Honglin Mu

      Article first published online: 5 NOV 2012 | DOI: 10.1111/j.1539-6924.2012.01923.x

    10. Enhancing Self-Protective Behavior: Efficacy Beliefs and Peer Feedback in Risk Communication

      Stephan Verroen, Jan M. Gutteling and Peter W. De Vries

      Article first published online: 5 NOV 2012 | DOI: 10.1111/j.1539-6924.2012.01924.x

    11. A Quantitative Assessment of the Prion Risk Associated with Wastewater from Carcase-Handling Facilities

      Amie Adkin, Neil Donaldson and Louise Kelly

      Article first published online: 5 NOV 2012 | DOI: 10.1111/j.1539-6924.2012.01921.x

    12. Daily Variation in Natural Disaster Casualties: Information Flows, Safety, and Opportunity Costs in Tornado Versus Hurricane Strikes

      Sammy Zahran, Daniele Tavani and Stephan Weiler

      Article first published online: 5 NOV 2012 | DOI: 10.1111/j.1539-6924.2012.01920.x

    13. Application of Bayesian Networks in Quantitative Risk Assessment of Subsea Blowout Preventer Operations

      Baoping Cai, Yonghong Liu, Zengkai Liu, Xiaojie Tian, Yanzhen Zhang and Renjie Ji

      Article first published online: 29 OCT 2012 | DOI: 10.1111/j.1539-6924.2012.01918.x

    14. Factors Associated with the Enactment of Safety Belt and Motorcycle Helmet Laws

      Teik Hua Law, Robert B. Noland and Andrew W. Evans

      Article first published online: 29 OCT 2012 | DOI: 10.1111/j.1539-6924.2012.01916.x

    15. Managing Risk at the Tucson Sector of the U.S. Border Patrol

      E. S. Levine and Julie F. Waters

      Article first published online: 18 OCT 2012 | DOI: 10.1111/j.1539-6924.2012.01910.x

    16. Quantitative Risk Estimation for a Legionella pneumophila Infection Due to Whirlpool Use

      Martijn Bouwknegt, Jack F. Schijven, Johanna A.C. Schalk and Ana Maria de Roda Husman

      Article first published online: 18 OCT 2012 | DOI: 10.1111/j.1539-6924.2012.01909.x

    17. Dermal Uptake of 18 Dilute Aqueous Chemicals: In Vivo Disappearance-Method Measures Greatly Exceed In Vitro-Based Predictions

      Kenneth T. Bogen

      Article first published online: 10 OCT 2012 | DOI: 10.1111/j.1539-6924.2012.01901.x

    18. Application of FISK, an Invasiveness Screening Tool for Non-Native Freshwater Fishes, in the Murray-Darling Basin (Southeastern Australia)

      Lorenzo Vilizzi and Gordon H. Copp

      Article first published online: 10 OCT 2012 | DOI: 10.1111/j.1539-6924.2012.01860.x

    19. Revisions of the Fish Invasiveness Scoring Kit (FISK) for its Application in Warmer Climatic Zones, with Particular Reference to Peninsular Florida

      Larry L. Lawson, Jr., Jeffrey E. Hill, Lorenzo Vilizzi, Scott Hardin and Gordon H. Copp

      Article first published online: 4 OCT 2012 | DOI: 10.1111/j.1539-6924.2012.01896.x

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