Volume 32, Issue 7
REPLICATION

Estimating the economic costs of organized crime by synthetic control methods

Martin Becker

Statistics and Econometrics, Saarland University, Saarbrücken, Germany

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Stefan Klößner

Corresponding Author

E-mail address: s.kloessner@mx.uni‐saarland.de

Statistics and Econometrics, Saarland University, Saarbrücken, Germany

Correspondence to:Stefan Klößner, Statistics and Econometrics, Saarland University, Campus C3 1, 66123 Saarbrücken, Germany.

Email: s.kloessner@mx.uni‐saarland.de

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First published: 16 May 2017
Citations: 5

Summary

The economic costs of organized crime have been estimated for the case of southern Italy by Pinotti (Economic Journal 2015; 125, F203–F232, 2015): using synthetic control methods, he finds that, due to the advent of the Italian Mafia in the regions Apulia and Basilicata, GDP per capita dropped by 16%. Replicating this study in a narrow sense by estimating the same model with the same data, but using different software implementations, we observe minor differences stemming from the different implementations. By identifying the correct implementation, we find that the loss in GDP per capita due to the presence of the Mafia has been slightly overestimated.

Number of times cited according to CrossRef: 5

  • The economic effects of political disintegration: Lessons from Serbia and Montenegro, European Journal of Political Economy, 10.1016/j.ejpoleco.2020.101938, 65, (101938), (2020).
  • THE ECONOMIC COST OF REVOLUTION: THE IRANIAN CASE. A SYNTHETIC CONTROL ANALYSIS*, The Singapore Economic Review, 10.1142/S0217590820420072, (1), (2020).
  • The side effects on health of a recovery plan in Italy A nonparametric bounding approach, Regional Science and Urban Economics, 10.1016/j.regsciurbeco.2019.103466, (103466), (2019).
  • The economic cost of the Arab Spring: the case of the Egyptian revolution, Empirical Economics, 10.1007/s00181-019-01684-7, (2019).
  • Fast and reliable computation of generalized synthetic controls, Econometrics and Statistics, 10.1016/j.ecosta.2017.08.002, 5, (1-19), (2018).

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