The full text of this article hosted at iucr.org is unavailable due to technical difficulties.

Journal list menu

Advanced Review

Modeling the climatic effects of large explosive volcanic eruptions

C. Timmreck

Corresponding Author

E-mail address:claudia.timmreck@zmaw.de

AES, Max‐Planck Institut fuer Meteorologie, Hamburg, Germany

AES, Max‐Planck Institut fuer Meteorologie, Hamburg, Germany
Search for more papers by this author
First published: 5 October 2012
Cited by: 55

Abstract

Large volcanic eruptions are an important driving factor of natural climate variability. A sound assessment of the role of volcanoes in the climate system in comparison to other forcing factors is therefore a prerequisite for understanding future and past climate variability. New advances in understanding volcanic climate effects have been achieved by using comprehensive climate and Earth system models. New insights have been gained over the last decade about volcanic impacts on atmospheric composition and dynamics, but most notably also about their impact on ocean dynamics, the hydrological and the carbon cycle and on marine and terrestrial biogeochemistry. An important achievement is the improved understanding of the volcanic imprint on decadal to multidecadal time scales. Climate model simulations of past eruptions are highly dependent not only on the quality of the model and of the volcanologcial input data but also on the treatment of the aerosol size distribution in chemistry and radiation calculations. Further knowledge has to be achieved about the relation between the initial climate state at the time of the eruption and the volcanic climatic impact. A challenging task for climate models is also the simulation of the Northern Hemisphere winter climate response after a large tropical eruption. Model intercomparison studies and cross validations of model simulations with observations are essential to better constrain the radiative forcing of large volcanic eruptions and their climate impact. WIREs Clim Change 2012, 3:545–564. doi: 10.1002/wcc.192

This article is categorized under:

  • Climate Models and Modeling > Earth System Models

Number of times cited: 55

  • , Impacts of a Pinatubo‐size volcanic eruption on ENSO, Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 122, 2, (925-947), (2017).
  • , Northern Hemisphere winter warming and summer monsoon reduction after volcanic eruptions over the last millennium, Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 122, 15, (7971-7989), (2017).
  • , Sensitivity of the regional climate in the Middle East and North Africa to volcanic perturbations, Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 122, 15, (7922-7948), (2017).
  • , Reference data set of volcanic ash physicochemical and optical properties, Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 122, 17, (9485-9514), (2017).
  • , Quantifying the impact of early 21st century volcanic eruptions on global-mean surface temperature, Environmental Research Letters, 10.1088/1748-9326/aa6cb5, 12, 5, (054010), (2017).
  • , The response of winter Pacific North American pattern to strong volcanic eruptions, Climate Dynamics, 48, 11-12, (3599)
  • , A new analytical scaling for turbulent wind-bent plumes: Comparison of scaling laws with analog experiments and a new database of eruptive conditions for predicting the height of volcanic plumes, Journal of Volcanology and Geothermal Research, 10.1016/j.jvolgeores.2017.07.006, 343, (233-251), (2017).
  • , New Tree-Ring Evidence from the Pyrenees Reveals Western Mediterranean Climate Variability since Medieval Times, Journal of Climate, 10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0526.1, 30, 14, (5295-5318), (2017).
  • , Interplay of environmental and socio-political factors in the downfall of the Eastern Türk Empire in 630 CE, Climatic Change, 145, 3-4, (383)
  • , Time-varying spectral characteristics of ENSO over the Last Millennium, Climate Dynamics, 49, 5-6, (1705)
  • , Aerosol and Solar Irradiance Effects on Decadal Climate Variability and Predictability, Current Climate Change Reports, 10.1007/s40641-017-0065-y, 3, 2, (150-162), (2017).
  • , Impact of explosive volcanic eruptions on the main climate variability modes, Global and Planetary Change, 10.1016/j.gloplacha.2017.01.006, 150, (24-45), (2017).
  • , Regional Effects of the Mount Pinatubo Eruption on the Middle East and the Red Sea, Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, 122, 11, (8894-8912), (2017).
  • , Climate‐tectonic coupling: Variations in the mean, variations about the mean, and variations in mode, Journal of Geophysical Research: Planets, 121, 10, (1831-1864), (2016).
  • , Satellite‐based global volcanic SO2 emissions and sulfate direct radiative forcing during 2005–2012, Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 121, 7, (3446-3464), (2016).
  • , Using a large ensemble of simulations to assess the Northern Hemisphere stratospheric dynamical response to tropical volcanic eruptions and its uncertainty, Geophysical Research Letters, 43, 17, (9324-9332), (2016).
  • , Impact of global warming on the rise of volcanic plumes and implications for future volcanic aerosol forcing, Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 121, 22, (13,326-13,351), (2016).
  • , Stratospheric aerosol—Observations, processes, and impact on climate, Reviews of Geophysics, 54, 2, (278-335), (2016).
  • , Situating 1816, the ‘year without summer’, in the UK, The Geographical Journal, 182, 4, (318-330), (2016).
  • , Intensification of tropical Pacific biological productivity due to volcanic eruptions, Geophysical Research Letters, 43, 3, (1184-1192), (2016).
  • , Variability of sulfate signal in ice core records based on five replicate cores, Climate of the Past, 12, 1, (103)
  • , “El Niño Like” Hydroclimate Responses to Last Millennium Volcanic Eruptions, Journal of Climate, 29, 8, (2907)
  • , Remote Sensing of Volcanic Eruptions, Plate Boundaries and Natural Hazards, (289-322), (2016).
  • , The Role of Volcanic Activity in Climate and Global Change, Climate Change, 10.1016/B978-0-444-63524-2.00026-9, (419-447), (2016).
  • , Robust Wind and Precipitation Responses to the Mount Pinatubo Eruption, as Simulated in the CMIP5 Models, Journal of Climate, 29, 13, (4763)
  • , Tambora 1815 as a test case for high impact volcanic eruptions: Earth system effects, Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Climate Change, 7, 4, (569-589), (2016).
  • , Effects of volcanism on tropical variability, Geophysical Research Letters, 42, 14, (6024-6033), (2015).
  • , Effects of the Mount Pinatubo eruption on decadal climate prediction skill of Pacific sea surface temperatures, Geophysical Research Letters, 42, 24, (10,840-10,846), (2015).
  • , Signals and memory in tree-ring width and density data, Dendrochronologia, 35, (62)
  • , , The Encyclopedia of Volcanoes, (935)
  • , Geoengineering: Basic science and ongoing research efforts in China, Advances in Climate Change Research, 10.1016/j.accre.2015.11.002, 6, 3-4, (188-196), (2015).
  • , Tree-Ring Amplification of the Early Nineteenth-Century Summer Cooling in Central Europe a , Journal of Climate, 10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00673.1, 28, 13, (5272-5288), (2015).
  • , Bidecadal North Atlantic ocean circulation variability controlled by timing of volcanic eruptions, Nature Communications, 6, 1
  • , Persistent drying in the tropics linked to natural forcing, Nature Communications, 6, 1
  • , Northern hemispheric winter warming pattern after tropical volcanic eruptions: Sensitivity to the ozone climatology, Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 119, 3, (1340-1355), (2014).
  • , Ash from Changbaishan Millennium eruption recorded in Greenland ice: Implications for determining the eruption's timing and impact, Geophysical Research Letters, 41, 2, (694-701), (2014).
  • , Comment on “Climatic impact of the long‐lasting Laki eruption: Inapplicability of mass‐independent sulfur isotope composition measurements” by Schmidt et al., Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 119, 11, (6629-6635), (2014).
  • , Quantifying the global carbon cycle response to volcanic stratospheric aerosol radiative forcing using Earth System Models, Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 119, 1, (101-111), (2014).
  • , Earth's spin and volcanic eruptions: evidence for mutual cause‐and‐effect interactions?, Terra Nova, 26, 1, (78-84), (2013).
  • , Volcanic bipolar disorder explained, Nature Geoscience, 7, 2, (84)
  • , , Microbial Biodegradation and Bioremediation, (23)
  • , The global precipitation response to volcanic eruptions in the CMIP5 models, Environmental Research Letters, 10.1088/1748-9326/9/10/104012, 9, 10, (104012), (2014).
  • , Volcanic Influence on European Summer Precipitation through Monsoons: Possible Cause for “Years without Summer”*, Journal of Climate, 10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00524.1, 27, 10, (3683-3691), (2014).
  • , Constraints on climate forcing by sulphate aerosols from seasonal changes in Earth's spin, Geophysical Journal International, 197, 3, (1382)
  • , Insights from Antarctica on volcanic forcing during the Common Era, Nature Climate Change, 4, 8, (693)
  • , Impact of volcanic stratospheric aerosols on diurnal temperature range in Europe over the past 200 years: Observations versus model simulations, Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 118, 16, (9064-9077), (2013).
  • , Climatic impact of the Millennium eruption of Changbaishan volcano in China: New insights from high‐precision radiocarbon wiggle‐match dating, Geophysical Research Letters, 40, 1, (54-59), (2013).
  • , Evaluation of volcanic aerosol impacts on atmospheric water vapor using CMIP3 and CMIP5 simulations, Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 118, 10, (4448-4457), (2013).
  • , The effect of volcanic eruptions on global precipitation, Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 118, 16, (8770-8786), (2013).
  • , Response of the middle atmosphere to anthropogenic and natural forcings in the CMIP5 simulations with the Max Planck Institute Earth system model, Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 5, 1, (98-116), (2013).
  • , Volcanic sulfate deposition to Greenland and Antarctica: A modeling sensitivity study, Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 118, 10, (4788-4800), (2013).
  • , Background conditions influence the decadal climate response to strong volcanic eruptions, Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 118, 10, (4090-4106), (2013).
  • , Separating Forced from Chaotic Climate Variability over the Past Millennium, Journal of Climate, 26, 18, (6954)
  • , Medieval Irish chronicles reveal persistent volcanic forcing of severe winter cold events, 431–1649 CE, Environmental Research Letters, 10.1088/1748-9326/8/2/024035, 8, 2, (024035), (2013).
  • , Reduced cooling following future volcanic eruptions, Climate Dynamics, 10.1007/s00382-017-3964-7, (2017).