Volume 16, Issue 2 p. 168-191

DYNAMIC WELFARE COST OF STAGNATION: AN ALTERNATIVE MEASURE TO THE LUCAS–OBSTFELD MODEL

TATSUYOSHI MIYAKOSHI

Corresponding Author

Osaka University

Osaka School of International Public Policy, Osaka University, 1‐31, Machikaneyama‐machi, Toyonaka, Osaka, 560‐0043, Japan. E‐mail: miyakoshi@osipp.osaka‐u.ac.jp. We are very grateful to two anonymous referees of this Journal for valuable comments. Earlier versions of this paper were presented at Osaka University and Hitotsubashi University in 2003, City University of Hong Kong and University of Tokyo in 2004, at the 2004 Western Regional Science Association Conference (in Hawaii), the 2004 Western Economic Association Conference (in Vancouver) and the 2004 East Asian Economic Association Conference (in Hong Kong). We thank Kenneth S. Chan, Makoto Saito, Yum K. Kwan, Yong Wang, Eiji Ogawa, Yoshiro Tsutsui, Yuzo Honda, Shinsuke Ikeda, Soyoung Kim and Joshua Aizenman for useful suggestions. The first author's research was supported by Grant‐in‐Aid 16530204 from the Ministry of Education, Culture, Sport, Science and Technology of Japan, the Nomura Foundation for Social Science and the Kanpo Foundation. Search for more papers by this author

Abstract

The present paper proposes an alternative measure to the Lucas–Obstfeld model to analyze the welfare costs of stagnation, and provides a practical illustration of both the Lucas–Obstfeld model and the alternative model. Compared with the Lucas–Obstfeld model, the alternative model can evaluate: (i) whether policy was implemented in a timely fashion; (ii) whether the policy cost was expensive compared with the cost of stagnation; and (iii) whether the policy implemented was effective or whether an additional policy is required.

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